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08.10.2020 08:55 AM
Analysis and trading recommendations for the EUR/USD and GBP/USD pairs on October 8

Analysis of transactions in the EUR / USD pair

Trump's change of tone over the long-disputed coronavirus relief bill shifted market demand to the European currency. As a result, a buy signal appeared in the euro from the level of 1.1752, which rose long positions in the market and triggered a 15 to 20-pip movement in the EUR / USD pair.

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Trading recommendations for October 8

The European Central Bank will publish its latest protocol today, and from there it will be clear how strongly the Central Bank is inclined to ease its monetary policy. A dovish rhetoric may decrease demand for the European currency.

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  • Set up a long position when the euro reaches a quote of 1.1777 (green line on the chart), and then take profit at the level of 1.1815. However, a bullish move will only occur if the ECB declares that it would maintain interest rates at the current level.
  • Open a short position if the euro moves to a quote of 1.1759 (red line on the chart), and then take profit at the level of 1.1726. Any hints of a possible negative rate will put pressure in the European currency.

Analysis of transactions in the GBP / USD pair

Two signals appeared for the pound yesterday, the first of which is a buy signal from the level of 1.2904. However, it did not lead to a large upward move, as the pound moved downwards instead by about 20 pips. In the afternoon, a wave of short positions from 1.2879 rose in the market, but there was no strong downward movement either. The decline only to about 15-20 pips.

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Trading recommendations for October 8

Since there are no important UK statistics scheduled to be published today, the market will be biased towards the upcoming US labor market report, as well as news related to Brexit.

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  • Open a long position when the pound reaches a quote of 1.2940 (green line on the chart), and then take profit around the level of 1.2999 (thicker green line on the chart).
  • Set up short positions after the pound reaches a quote of 1.2912 (red line on the chart), and then take profit at least at the level of 1.2857.
Jakub Novak,
الخبير التحليلي لدى شركة إنستافوركس
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