empty
 
 
20.03.2014 05:14 AM
Analysis of gold for March 20, 2014

Most Fed watchers expected the central bank to announce that they will reduce the size of its monthly bond buying by further $10 billion, to $55 billion. Currently, short-term interest rates are roughly in line with FOMC forecasts. If the interest rates start rising, then gold prices will come down. The Fed did what everyone expected. Gold plunged to a 1-week low and the US dollar moved to higher levels. Beginning in April, the central bank will add to its holdings of agency mortgage-backed securities at a pace of $25 billion per month rather than $30 billion per month, and will add to its holdings of long-term Treasury securities at a pace of $30 billion per month rather than $35 billion per month. The biggest news was that the FOMC dropped its 6.5 percent unemployment forward guidance threshold for possibly raising interest rates.

Technical view-

Gold was beaten hardly at the $1391 level. Gold has been dropping for three consecutive days. Gold plunged to the strong support level at $1328.0. During yesterday's trading session, gold broke the 200EMA level, closed below the EMA level, and broke the previous support level as well, which added fuel for bears. Today within Asia's trading session, gold is unable to cross the 200EMA level that raises more bearish thoughts.

Intraday and Positional-

In the H4 and H1charts, RSI shows a pullback signal as it stays in oversold zone. Currently, gold is trading at $1,329.60. As per the RSI if pullback comes to price, on the up side we will see $1,331.0 acting as stiff resistance. If price crosses above the $1,331.0, we will see $1,338.0 immediately. Fresh up move is to be only above the level of $1,338.0 for targets at $1,343.0, $1,350.0, $1,354.0, and $1357.0.

This image is no longer relevant

On the downside, if the price is unable to cross the $1,331.0 level, gold will drift to $1,325, $1321, $1,315-$1,310 levels. But for the time being, as we saw in the hourly charts, RSI is in oversold conditions. So just wait for another pullback and enter short at higher levels. In the daily chart, fib level 38.2 and 50SMA are acting as support zone in the near term. On the weekly basis, the fib level 23.6, $1,322.5, and 50SMA at $1,321.0 is acting as strong support, we can see this levels today only.

This image is no longer relevant

Recommendation-

Intraday

Buy between $1,325.0 and $1,323.5, targets are $1,331.0, above this, $1,337.0. Add more if it comes to $1,320.0.

InstaForex Analyst,
الخبير التحليلي لدى شركة إنستافوركس
© 2007-2024
كسب عائد من تغيرات أسعار العملات المشفرة مع إنستافوركس.
قم بتحميل منصة التداول ميتاتريدر 4 وافتح أول صفقة.
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    انضم إلى المسابقة
  • إيداع الحظ
    قم بإيداع 3,000 دولار في حسابك واحصل على $8,000 وأكثر من ذالك!
    في مايو نحن نقدم باليانصيب $8,000 ضمن حملة إيداع الحظ!
    احصل على فرصة للفوز من خلال إيداع 3,000 دولار في حساب تداول. بعد أن استوفيت هذا الشرط، تصبح مشاركًا في الحملة.
    انضم إلى المسابقة
  • تداول بحكمة، اربح جهازا
    قم بتعبئة حسابك بمبلغ لا يقل عن 500 دولار ، واشترك في المسابقة ، واحصل على فرصة للفوز بأجهزة الجوال.
    انضم إلى المسابقة
  • بونص 100٪
    فرصتك الفريدة للحصول على بونص 100٪ على إيداعك
    احصل على بونص
  • بونص 55٪
    تقدم بطلب للحصول على بونص 55٪ على كل إيداع
    احصل على بونص
  • بونص 30٪
    احصل على بونص 30٪ في كل مرة تقوم فيها بتعبئة حسابك
    احصل على بونص

المقالات الموصى بها

لا تستطيع التحدث الآن؟
اطرح سؤالك في الدردشة.
Widget callback