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15.03.2021 05:12 PM
Will history repeat itself in the Dollar index?

The Dollar index is trading at 91.73 after making a low just above 89 at the beginning of January. The RSI had made a bullish divergence in the weekly chart and was turning upwards from oversold levels. Price was turning higher from weekly horizontal support and levels previously seen in 2018.

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Red lines - bullish divergence

Black line - horizontal support

Blue lines - possible same size reversal

Price action is similar to the reversal we witnessed in 2018 and pushed the index from 89 to nearly 104. Will we see a similar upward move. So far price is respecting the support around the 89 level and is moving higher. It is essential for this bullish scenario for bulls to hold above 89. A break below 89 will decrease dramatically the chances of an upward move to 100. Next major resistance level is at 94-94.50. Breaking above it will increase chances of success of this scenario.

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