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04.10.2022 02:27 PM
Short-term technical analysis on EURUSD for October 4th, 2022.

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Red lines- medium-term bearish channe

Blue lines- Fibonacci retracements

EURUSD is making new short-term higher highs. Price has started an upward reversal from 0.95. Price has so far retraced more than 50% of the decline from 1.0198 and is approaching the 61.8% level. This Fibonacci retracement is our next target since price broke above the 38% retracement. At this retracement level we usually see trend reversals or counter trend moves end. Price remains inside the medium-term bearish channel. If bulls manage to push price above the 61.8% retracement level then the chances for a move towards the upper channel boundary increase. The RSI is approaching overbought levels and price the key resistance at the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Bulls need to be cautious. A reversal and resumption of the downtrend are justified and a highly probable scenario.

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