4-hour timeframe

Technical details:

The senior linear regression channel: direction - up.

The junior linear regression channel: direction - down.

Moving average (20; smoothed) - up.

CCI: 92.6950

The third trading day of the week promises to be interesting for the EUR / USD currency pair due to the whole package of macroeconomic information expected from the States. First, the ADP report on employment changes in the private sector will be released today. Secondly, preliminary data on GDP for the fourth quarter will be released. Thirdly, the results of the Fed meeting, the first meeting in 2019, the press conference of the Federal Open Market Committee will be announced late in the evening, and the accompanying Fed statement will be announced. In general, there is plenty of news for today, so in the second half of the day, we expect an increase in volatility. The US dollar in recent days against the euro is cheaper. Perhaps the fact that the Fed will not raise rates in January, as well as reduced GDP for the 4th quarter, thanks to Trump's "shutdown", are already taken into account in the current US dollar exchange rate. However, no one knows what exactly will be said at the press conference. Thus, the press conference is of more interest. Jerome Powell's mood is likely to remain "soft," if not frankly, "pigeon." At the moment, the chances that the dollar will continue to decline against the euro are much greater.

Nearest support levels:

S1 - 1.1414

S2 - 1.1353

S3 - 1.1292

Nearest resistance levels:

R1 - 1.1475

R2 - 1.1536

R3 - 1.1597

Trading recommendations:

The currency pair EUR / USD continues to move up. Thus, purchase orders with a target of 1.1475 remain relevant today. A color of 1-2 bars in blue will signal the manual closing of long positions.

It is recommended to open sell positions if traders overcome a moving average line with a target of 1.1353. For this option today, you will need "hawk" information from the Fed and strong macroeconomic reports.

In addition to the technical picture should also take into account the fundamental data and the time of their release.

Explanations for illustrations:

The senior linear regression channel is the blue lines of the unidirectional movement.

The younger linear regression channel is the purple lines of the unidirectional movement.

CCI - blue line in the indicator window.

The moving average (20; smoothed) is the blue line on the price chart.

Murray levels - multi-colored horizontal stripes.

Heikin Ashi is an indicator that colors bars in blue or purple.