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20.02.2020 04:11 PM
EUR/USD: plan for the US session on February 20. The euro continues to stagnate around annual lows. The sellers' target remains the level of 1.0785

To open long positions on EURUSD, you need:

Data on German producer prices helped keep the euro at this year's lows, forming a false breakdown from the support area of 1.0785, which also led to the formation of a divergence on the MACD indicator. This is a bullish signal, however, given the current position of the European currency, it is not necessary to count on strong upward momentum. In the scenario of a breakthrough and a decline below the level of 1.0785 in the afternoon, it is best to return to long positions after the area of 1.0765 is updated or immediately to a rebound from the larger low of 1.0740. An equally important task for the bulls will be to break through and consolidate above the resistance of 1.0825, from which a good upward correction will be formed in the area of the highs of 1.0860 and 1.0886, where I recommend taking the profits.

To open short positions on EURUSD, you need:

The bears continue to bend their line, however, they have not managed to break below the support of 1.0785 for the third day in a row, which may lead to a sharp rebound of the pair up. Apparently, the sellers are counting on good reports on the US economy, which are scheduled for the second half of the day, since only a break in the support of 1.0785 will drop EUR/USD in the area of the lows of 1.0765 and 1.0740, where I recommend fixing the profits. In the scenario of the pair's growth in the second half of the day, only the formation of a false breakdown in the area of 1.0825 will signal the opening of short positions in the euro. I recommend selling immediately for a rebound only after testing the maximum of 1.0860.

Signals of indicators:

Moving averages

Trading is conducted in the area of 30 and 50 moving averages, which indicates market uncertainty in the short term.

Bollinger Bands

Volatility remains at a low level, which plays on the side of sellers of the European currency.

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Description of indicators

  • Moving average (moving average determines the current trend by smoothing out volatility and noise). Period 50. The graph is marked in yellow.
  • Moving average (moving average determines the current trend by smoothing out volatility and noise). Period 30. The graph is marked in green.
  • MACD indicator (Moving Average Convergence / Divergence - moving average convergence / divergence) Fast EMA period 12. Slow EMA period 26. SMA period 9
  • Bollinger Bands (Bollinger Bands). Period 20
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