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18.09.2020 12:58 PM
How Covid-19 could affect the US election

Trump holding the presidency after the election in November will depend on the success of the United States in the fight against the ill-fated pandemic. Billionaire Jeffrey Gundlach confirmed the link between the popularity of Donald Trump and the number of new cases of Covid-19 in the United States at a conference held on September 8.

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On the contrary, the coronavirus can affect not only the health of the population but also the outcome of elections in many ways. The degree of financial assistance provided by the US government in the fight against the pandemic is very high. But it cannot be considered in the long term because it will inevitably lead to a crisis. Americans have been pinning all their hopes on unemployment benefits and this is a negative factor that can lead to an unfavorable outcome as per Jeffrey Gundlach's suggestion.

The financial support measures taken by the government in the fight against the epidemiological crisis are estimated to be the largest in the world. Moreover, global GDP is predicted to decline by 3.9% this year and the US GDP by 5.0%. It is easy to see the contradiction between the current state of the American economy and what preceded the pandemic when there was an obvious slowdown. The billionaire notes that the number of hours worked per week is an indicator of expansion and recession, and in the US this indicator has grown significantly and returned to the section of averages over the past 60 years. At the same time, it is impossible not to mention the fact that consumer confidence has collapsed and continues to remain at low levels.

In April 2016, billionaire financier Gundlach predicted Trump's victory in the election and even voiced a forecast that the US national debt will grow significantly during the presidency.

Andreeva Natalya,
Pakar analisis InstaForex
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