Overview:

Few months ago, when bulls pushed the price further above 79.6% Fibonacci level, the market looked quite overbought. That is why, the price failed to hold above 1.2650 - 1.2680 (previous highs), resulting in lower highs (within the depicted consolidation zone) enhancing the bearish side of the market.

A daily fixation below 1.2300 opened the way towards the levels of 1.2000 and 1.1940 (the depicted weekly uptrend).

Bullish support was found around these levels. Successive higher lows were achieved. Bullish pressure was applied against the resistance levels at 1.2450 and 1.2500 (previous tops).

On the other hand, the previous weekly candlestick was quite bullish. That is why, an extensive bullish movement is seen on the chart.

A bullish breakout above the zone of 1.2770-1.2800 has been executed.

The long-term bullish target was projected towards the level of 1.3270 (100% Fibonacci Expansion) where bearish pressure should be expected. Bulls were approaching this level this week.

Bearish corrective movement towards the level of 1.2750 (Breakout Level) should be expected as long as USD/CAD bears keep defending the Fibonacci Expansion zone around 1.3270 - 1.3300.

On the other hand, bearish persistence below 1.3100 (lower limit of the depicted Flag pattern) is needed to expose the next support level around 1.2910 and then 1.2800 where long-term buy entries can be considered.

Trading recommendations:

A valid SELL entry was suggested at retesting of the price levels around 1.3270 (upper limit of the Flag pattern and Fibonacci Expansion 100%). S/L can now be lowered to 1.3330 to offset the associated risk.

Conservative traders should wait for a bearish pullback towards the recent breakout zone (1.2800-1.2750) for a valid buy entry as the breakout level constitutes a recent strong support.

Stop Loss should be located below the level of 1.2700. T/P levels should be located at 1.2850 and 1.2900 and T/P levels to be placed at 1.3200 and 1.3050.