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28.02.2020 05:30 PM
February 28, 2020 : EUR/USD Intraday technical analysis and trade recommendations.

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On December 30, a bearish ABC reversal pattern was initiated around 1.1235 (Previous Key-zone) just before another bearish movement could take place towards 1.1100 (In the meanwhile, the EURUSD pair was losing much of its bearish momentum).

One more bullish pullback was executed towards 1.1175 where the depicted key-zone as well as the recently-broken uptrend were located. That's why, quick bearish decline was executed again towards 1.1100 then 1.1035 which failed to provide enough bullish SUPPORT for the EURUSD pair.

Further bearish decline took place towards 1.1000 where the pair looked quite oversold around the lower limit of the depicted bearish channel.

That's why, significant bullish rejection was able to push the pair back towards the nearest SUPPLY levels around 1.1080-1.1100 (confluence of supply levels, including the upper limit of the channel).

Since then, the pair has been down-trending within the depicted bearish channel until last week when bearish decline went further below 1.0950 and 1.0910 (Fibonacci Expansion levels 78.6% and 100%) establishing a new low around 1.0790.

This was where the EUR/USD pair looked oversold after such a long bearish decline.

Hence, Intraday traders were advised to look for signs of bullish recovery around the price levels of (1.0790) as a valid intraday BUY signal with initial bullish targets around 1.0910 then 1.0950 (previously-broken demand-levels).

By the end of Last week, recent signs of bullish recovery were manifested around 1.0790 leading to the current bullish movement towards 1.0910, 1.0950 and 1.1000.

The price level of (1.1000) constitutes a major SUPPLY level in confluence with the upper limit of the current movement channel.

That's why, bearish rejection and a short-term bearish pullback should be expected towards 1.0950 and 1.0910 where another bullish swing can be initiated.

On the other hand, bearish persistence below 1.0910 enables further bearish decline towards 1.0850 and 1.0830.

Mohamed Samy,
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