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31.07.2020 06:19 AM
Forecast for AUD/USD on July 31, 2020

AUD/USD

The Australian dollar was down 70 points towards the evening on Thursday. The currency relatively calmly accepted the news of a 32.9% drop in US GDP for the second quarter (the expectation was even worse: -34.5%), but it could not stand US President Donald Trump's announcement of his intention to postpone the presidential election to a later date. A few hours later, Trump refused his offer, but the aussie showed an increase of 7 points by the end of the day.

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The price is struggling in the upper border of the target range of 0.7190-0.7225 this morning, the success of which will lead to an increase to 0.7296 (January 2019 high). The triple divergence on the Marlin oscillator will remain. As a result, we expect a reversal of the Australian dollar either from the current levels or from 0.7296.

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The possibility of forming a divergence remains. Visually, this possibility will remain even if the price rises to 0.7296. We are waiting for the development of the situation. Opening positions today in any direction is associated with an increased risk of uncertainty.

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