empty
 
 
06.02.2019 11:50 AM
GBP / USD: Will the Bank of England support the pound?

This image is no longer relevant

On the eve, the pound sterling against the dollar sank below $ 1.30 after the UK data on the service sector PMI were released, which were the weakest since June 2016, when a referendum was held on the issue of the country's withdrawal from the EU.

This image is no longer relevant

According to experts, the dynamics of the pound suggests that hopes of reaching a compromise between London and Brussels are fading again, giving way to fears of the implementation of the "tough" Brexit scenario.

"One of the options for the destructive impact of Brexit without a deal can be a situation where the United Kingdom will be isolated almost as much as Iceland in 2010 after the eruption of the Eyjafjallajokull volcano," said experts of the National Institute for Economic and Social Research (NIESR).

"In this case, the British economy can expect a recession of varying degrees of severity, depending on the measures taken by the authorities. Meanwhile, according to our estimates, under the "soft" scenario, GDP growth in the state in 2019 will be 1.5%, and in 2020, 1.7%," they added.

It is assumed that this week, British Prime Minister Theresa May will hold another round of talks with EU representatives to conclude a new deal, which is then approved by the House of Commons.

"At the moment, almost no one is waiting for a breakthrough, and it seems that the recent positive mood, supported by the pound, is drying up," said Lee Hardman, currency strategist at MUFG.

In addition to the uncertainty around Brexit, the pound this week will have to go through another important event. Tomorrow, the first meeting of the Bank of England is to take place this year.

The regulator is expected to leave the interest rate unchanged.

"Since the risks associated with Brexit have increased since the last meeting of the Central Bank before Christmas, this further limited its room for maneuver," said Adam Cole, an analyst at Royal Bank of Canada.

It is likely that weak macroeconomic data, an unresolved situation with the UK leaving the EU, a restrained position of the Fed may force the Bank of England to take a softer position with respect to its monetary policy, which will cause a sharp depreciation of the pound. At the same time, any sign of strengthening the "hawkish" rhetoric of the Central Bank can support the British currency.

Viktor Isakov,
انسٹافاریکس کا تجزیاتی ماہر
© 2007-2024
انسٹافاریکس کے ساتھ کرپٹو کرنسی کی معاملاتی تبدیلیوں سے کمائیں۔
میٹا ٹریڈر 4 ڈاؤن لوڈ کریں اور اپنی پہلی ٹریڈ کھولیں۔
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    مقابلہ میں شامل ہوں
  • چانسی ڈیپازٹ
    اپنے اکاؤنٹ میں 3000 ڈالر جمع کروائیں اور حاصل کریں$9000 مزید!
    ہم مئي قرعہ اندازی کرتے ہیں $9000چانسی ڈیپازٹ نامی مقابلہ کے تحت
    اپنے اکاؤنٹ میں 3000 ڈالر جمع کروانے پر موقع حاصل کریں - اس شرط پر پورا اُترتے ہوئے اس مقابلہ میں شرکت کریں
    مقابلہ میں شامل ہوں
  • ٹریڈ وائز، ون ڈیوائس
    کم از کم 500 ڈالر کے ساتھ اپنے اکاؤنٹ کو ٹاپ اپ کریں، مقابلے کے لیے سائن اپ کریں، اور موبائل ڈیوائسز جیتنے کا موقع حاصل کریں۔
    مقابلہ میں شامل ہوں
  • 100 فیصد بونس
    اپنے ڈپازٹ پر 100 فیصد بونس حاصل کرنے کا آپ کا منفرد موقع
    بونس حاصل کریں
  • 55 فیصد بونس
    اپنے ہر ڈپازٹ پر 55 فیصد بونس کے لیے درخواست دیں
    بونس حاصل کریں
  • 30 فیصد بونس
    ہر بار جب آپ اپنا اکاؤنٹ ٹاپ اپ کریں تو 30 فیصد بونس حاصل کریں
    بونس حاصل کریں

تجویز کردہ مضامین

ابھی فوری بات نہیں کرسکتے ؟
اپنا سوال پوچھیں بذریعہ چیٹ.
Widget callback