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09.11.2021 12:20 PM
USD/JPY analysis and forecast for November 9, 2021

Today we

are going to the dollar/yen pair. Since it is still only the beginning of

weekly trading, let's analyze the results of the previous trading five days and

take a look at the weekly price chart. The imminent appointment of the US

Federal Reserve head has already been mentioned in today's Euro/Dollar article,

as well as Jerome Powell's next speech. In this regard, let's take a look at

the weekly timeframe.

Weekly

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So, USD/JPY could not continue the growth of the previous week and went down during the trading week of November 1-5, ending the previous five days at 113.42. This trading pattern is clearly bearish and is confirmed by the current continued depreciation. USD/JPY was trading near 112.86. Given the strength of the technical level 113.00, this week's close under that level would further reinforce the bearish sentiment on this trading instrument. Only a true break-up of the key resistance level at this stage, 114.72, with an inevitable consolidation above that level, will turn the dollar/yen into a bullish mood. If the market goes into a bearish trading scenario, the USD/JPY risks falling to another quite strong and significant level at 112.00. To summarise, a continuation of the downward scenario seems most likely. This implies the selling of the pair.

Daily

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On the daily chart, the pair has already consolidated below the red Tenkan line of the Ichimoku indicator and is now testing the blue Kijun line for a breakdown. If today's trading ends below the Kijun, it would create good prospects for a further move southwards. However, it might be wrong to judge a true break-up of a level or a line by a single closed candlestick. Nevertheless, a break-down of the support at 113.28, followed by a pullback to the broken line, and a reversal downwards can be considered as the market choosing a southerly direction. Based on this, it is recommended to look for options to sell USD/JPY after insignificant and short-term pullbacks or bounces upwards. The most relevant points to open short positions are considered to be 113.20, 113.35, and 113.60. Based on the two timeframes, a downward scenario of the price movement of the currency pair dollar/yen is most likely.

Ivan Aleksandrov,
Especialista em análise na InstaForex
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