empty
 
 
02.08.2018 12:48 PM
Fundamental Analysis of EUR/GBP for August 2, 2018

EUR/GBP has been pushing higher despite the volatile momentum it has been struggling for a few months now. Both currencies in the pair are struggling fundamentally and technically which is a result of indecisive actions taken fundamentally and by the market participants.

Ahead of the GBP Official Bank Rate hike from 0.50% to 0.75%, the market is expected to be quite volatile which is expected to lead to certain spikes in the process. As of the Brexit impact and Trade War affecting the growth of the GBP in many ways, the Bank of England is currently looking forward to maintaining the Inflation rate at 2% to keep the economy stable. This is the second time after the big recession at a 2008-2009 session that the UK is increasing its Official Bank Rate. Some of the officials still believe that the UK should have increased the rate earlier to maintain the stability in the economy and by the next few years, there should be at least 2-3 rate hikes for the UK for better outcomes in the future.

On the other hand, ECB has been struggling as well about the recent economic reports including today's Spanish Unemployment Change increasing to -27.1k from the previous figure of -90.0k which was expected to be at -87.6k and PPI also decreasing to 0.4% from the previous value of 0.8% but it managed to be slightly above from the expected value of 0.3%.

As of the current scenario, GBP is all set to gain certain momentum over EUR while latest economic reports on the EUR side is still quite dovish and mostly indecisive. As Official Bank Rate of UK increases and any optimistic update from the BOE Inflation Report and UK Monetary Policy Summary publishes, GBP is expected to gain further momentum in the process against EUR in the coming days.

Now let us look at the technical view. The price has been quite bearish recently having a Bearish Divergence in place which pushed the price lower off the 0.8950 area with a daily close. Currently, the price is being held by the dynamic level of 20 EMA which is expected to push the price lower with a target towards 0.8850 in the coming days before showing any evidence of bullish intervention in the process. If price fails to push higher off the 0.8850 area, a daily close below 0.8850 is expected to inject impulsive bearish momentum in the pair in the coming days.

SUPPORT: 0.8850

RESISTANCE: 0.8950

BIAS: BULLISH

MOMENTUM: VOLATILE

This image is no longer relevant

Gana con los cambios en el valor de las criptomonedas con InstaForex.
Descarga MetaTrader 4 y abre tu primera operación.
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    UNIRSE AL CONCURSO
  • Depósito al azar
    ¡Haga un depósito en su cuenta de $3,000 y obtenga $9000 más!
    ¡En Mayo, sorteamos $9000 dentro de la campaña Depósito afortunado!
    Obtenga la oportunidad de ganar depositando $3,000 en una cuenta de operaciones. Tras haber cumplido esta condición, se convertirá en un participante de la campaña.
    UNIRSE AL CONCURSO
  • Opere de forma inteligente, gane un dispositivo
    Recargue su cuenta con al menos $500, regístrese en el concurso y tenga la oportunidad de ganar dispositivos móviles.
    UNIRSE AL CONCURSO
  • 100% de bonificación
    Su oportunidad única de obtener un bono del 100 % en su depósito
    OBTENER BONO
  • 55% de bonificación
    Solicite un bono del 55% en cada depósito
    OBTENER BONO
  • 30% de bonificación
    Reciba un bono del 30% cada vez que recargue su cuenta
    OBTENER BONO

Recommended Stories

¿No puede hablar ahora mismo?
Ingrese su pregunta en el chat.
Widget callback