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02.07.2019 09:15 AM
EUR/USD: plan for the European session on July 2. The US dollar will continue to strengthen against the euro, but requires a breakthrough level of 1.1273

To open long positions on EURUSD you need:

Euro buyers began to enjoy good data on unemployment in the eurozone, but after a slight correction, the bears returned to the market. At the moment, it is best to look at long positions on a false breakdown around 1.1273, with confirmation of divergence on the MACD indicator. Or open long positions immediately to rebound from a low of 1.1239. The main task of the bulls will be a return to the resistance of 1.1307, which may lead to an upward correction of the euro to the area of a high at 1.1338, where I recommend taking profits.

To open short positions on EURUSD you need:

Given that today there is no planned release of important fundamental data for the euro area, the pressure on the euro may continue in the first half of the day. The main task of the sellers will be the breakthrough of the support of 1.1273, which will increase the pressure on the pair and lead to a low of 1.1239 and 1.1207, where I recommend to lock in the profit. In the scenario of an upward EUR/USD correction in the first half of the day, only a false breakdown in the area of a resistance of 1.1307 will be a signal to open short positions. In a different scenario, you can sell on a rebound from a high of 1.1338.

Indicator signals:

Moving averages

Trade is conducted below 30 and 50 moving average, which indicates the formation of a bear market.

Bollinger bands

In case of an upward correction, the upper limit of the indicator in the area of 1.1340 will act as resistance.

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Description of indicators

  • MA (moving average) 50 days - yellow
  • MA (moving average) 30 days - green
  • MACD: fast EMA 12, slow EMA 26, SMA 9
  • Bollinger Bands 20
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