Latest COT report (Commitments of Traders). Weekly prospects for EUR / USD

Here, we have the published data from the latest COT report (Commitments of Traders). The report contains the results indicated even at the close of the month of June. Open interest in the euro declined again (579.738 against 585.423). It should be noted that the main major market participants did not act in unison this time, but undertook multi-directional strategies for an hour. As a result, Non-Commercial sharply reduced its long positions (-10.429), increasing the bearish component (+9.064). At the same time, the Commercials group got rid of short contracts (-13.978) and added some bullish interest (+1.434). The multi-directional actions manifested itself in the trading of this period by uncertainty and daily consolidation.

Main conclusion

The pair is likely to maintain its location in the correction zone (1.1422 maximum correction) in the near future, failing to restore the upward movement. At the same time, the players to decline will look for an opportunity and actively make attempts to continue the decline (1.1168 minimum correction).

Technical picture

Uncertainty is clearly visible not only on the daily chart, but also on the weekly chart. The expansion of the emerging bull clouds in Ichimoku occurs without strengthening the bull positions on the chart, which is a weakening factor and is able to permanently stop the emerging rise, which previously led to the formation of gold crosses on the daily and weekly time frame . For players to increase, it is important to leave the zone of weekly consolidation (1.1422) in this situation, and then go out and consolidate above the monthly high wave of March (1.1496). For players to decline, the main task now is to complete work in the zone of uncertainty and continue the weekly correctional decline, while on the daily time frame, this may change the main priorities.

The players to decline strive to develop an emerging correction on H1. The key support in the lower halves now are the central Pivot level (1.1299) and the weekly long term trend (1.1256). A consolidation under the moving and its reversal will change the priorities of the lower halves and will allow further strengthening of the bears. At the same time, support for classic pivot levels today are located at 1.1252 - 1.1196 -1.114, while the resistance is at 1.1355 - 1.1402 - 1.1458.

Ichimoku Kinko Hyo (9.26.52), Pivot Points (classic), Moving Average (120)