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21.05.2021 10:37 AM
Simplified wave analysis and forecast for EUR/USD, AUD/USD, GBP/JPY, USD/CAD on May 21

EUR/USD

Analysis:

The upward momentum has set the trend direction of the European currency for more than a year, and its last section counts down from March 31. The quotes have reached the boundaries of a strong potential reversal zone. The structure of the current wave is not complete.

Forecast:

In the first half of the day, a flat mood of the movement is expected today. A short-term decline to the support zone is likely. At the end of the day or tomorrow, you can count on the activation of the instrument with a repeated rise in the price in the area of the resistance zone.

Potential reversal zones

Resistance:

- 1.2270/1.2300

Support:

- 1.2200/1.2170

Recommendations:

There are no conditions for selling the euro today. It is recommended to refrain from trading during the pullback and monitor the buy signals in the area of the support zone.

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AUD/USD

Analysis:

On the Australian dollar chart in the structure of the dominant bullish momentum, the correction phase has ended. The new section on the main trend is counting down from May 13. The correction part (B) has been forming in the sideways price corridor for the past week.

Forecast:

There is a high probability of a sideways course of movement with a downward vector in the coming sessions. In the area of the calculated support, the price flat is expected to end, forming a reversal and the beginning of the growth of the pair's rate.

Potential reversal zones

Resistance:

- 0.7770/0.7800

Support:

- 0.7710/0.7680

Recommendations:

Sales today carry a high degree of risk and can be unprofitable. It is recommended to refrain from trading until clear signals of buying the instrument appear in the area of the support zone.

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GBP/JPY

Analysis:

An upward trend dominates the daily scale of the pound/yen chart. Its last unfinished section dates back to April 23. In the structure of the wave from May 10, the price forms a correction. It has the appearance of a shifting plane and looks complete. The ascending section from May 19 has a reversal potential.

Forecast:

Most of the current day is expected to move in the lateral plane, between the nearest oncoming zones. The price is likely to roll back to the support zone. Activation and subsequent growth of the exchange rate are possible at the end of the day or the beginning of the next trading week.

Potential reversal zones

Resistance:

- 154.50/154.80

Support:

- 153.80/153.50

Recommendations:

Trading in the pair's market today is safe only within the framework of individual trading sessions. When selling, you should reduce the lot as much as possible, closing deals at the first signals of a change in the exchange rate. After the appearance of clear reversal signals, you should give priority to purchases.

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USD/CAD

Analysis:

The trend of strengthening the positions of the Canadian currency in the main pair, which has been dominating since March last year, continues. The price has reached the boundaries of the intermediate support zone, where the price can form another correction area. The upper limit of the preliminary target zone is about four price figures below the current values.

Forecast:

On the next day, the price of the pair is expected to move in the lateral plane. Short-term price growth is possible, not above the resistance zone. By the end of the day, the probability of activation and return to the main course of movement increases.

Potential reversal zones

Resistance:

- 1.2130/1.2160

Support:

- 1.2060/1.2030

Recommendations:

Purchases of the Canadian dollar are contrary to the main trend and are not recommended. The main attention is proposed to be paid to the search for signals for the sale of the instrument.

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Explanation: In the simplified wave analysis (UVA), waves consist of 3 parts (A-B-C). The last incomplete wave is analyzed. The solid background of the arrows shows the formed structure, and the dotted one shows the expected movements.

Attention: The wave algorithm does not take into account the duration of the tool movements in time!

Isabel Clark,
Chuyên gia phân tích của InstaForex
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