empty
 
 
24.05.2018 10:27 AM
Euro buyers should try very hard

The US dollar lost a number of positions against the euro and the British pound after the report of the May meeting of the Federal Reserve System was published. Despite the fact that the representatives of the Federal Reserve spoke in favor of raising interest rates, the report of experts from the Federal Reserve spoke about a more restrained outlook.

In the minutes of the May meeting of the Fed, the leaders came to the conclusion that the next increase in interest rates would be expedient in the near future but there were no clear deadlines. Also, the leaders of the Federal Reserve did not say anything about the number of interest rate increases planned this year, as investors were more interested in this issue. The next increase in rates has already taken into account the current exchange rate of the US dollar, so serious growth has not occurred.

Fed executives also considered the possibility of abandoning the soft tone in the statement and voiced different views on tightening policies in the medium term. The analysis, as a whole, was a question of the necessity of further raising the rates, so as not to cause overheating of the economy.

In the minutes, it was possible to find a forecast on the growth rates of US GDP in the second quarter of this year, which should be higher after a slowdown in the first quarter. Experts expect that US GDP growth will exceed potential growth in 2020.

As for inflation, the managers revised it with a slight increase in the short-term forecast against the background of incoming data. It is expected that inflation will slightly exceed the target level of 2%.

As for risks, they continue to be in the fiscal and trade policies that the White House is currently leading. It is these factors that contribute to uncertainty.

As for the technical picture of the EURUSD pair, much will depend on the behavior of buyers at current lows. If we manage to stay above the level of 1.1700 before the end of the week, this will allow us to expect a larger upward correction to the resistance area 1.1750 and 1.1790, where sellers will return to the market again. If, in the next few days, trade in the EURUSD moves to the support level of 1.1690, the pressure on the euro will increase again, which will lead to a new wave of a downtrend with the update of the levels of 1.1630 and 1.1600.

Today, attention should be paid to weekly data on the number of initial applications for unemployment benefits in the US. It is expected to grow by 220,000 after 222,000 the previous week.

This image is no longer relevant

Jakub Novak,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2024
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST
  • Chancy Deposit
    Deposit your account with $3,000 and get $9000 more!
    In May we raffle $9000 within the Chancy Deposit campaign!
    Get a chance to win by depositing $3,000 to a trading account. Having fulfilled this condition, you become a campaign participant.
    JOIN CONTEST
  • Trade Wise, Win Device
    Top up your account with at least $500, sign up for the contest, and get a chance to win mobile devices.
    JOIN CONTEST
  • 100% Bonus
    Your unique opportunity to get a 100% bonus on your deposit
    GET BONUS
  • 55% Bonus
    Apply for a 55% bonus on your every deposit
    GET BONUS
  • 30% Bonus
    Receive a 30% bonus every time you top up your account
    GET BONUS

Recommended Stories

Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback